NEC Nijmegen vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
68.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
0 - 2
ZWO
46%
24%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2008 |
NEC
2 - 2
TWE
30%
28%
42%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
WIL
3 - 0
NEC
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2007 |
NEC
2 - 2
VVV
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
NAC
4 - 2
AJA
18%
22%
61%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2008 |
AJA
6 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2007 |
VVV
2 - 2
AJA
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2007 |
AJA
2 - 2
TWE
72%
18%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2007 |
EXC
2 - 1
AJA
14%
19%
68%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |