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Second Division Malta. Matchday 23

Naxxar Lions FC Marsaxlokk FC
6 ELO 5
33% Tilt -2%
9041º General ELO ranking 9521º
24º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
57.3%
Naxxar Lions FC
22.5%
Draw
20.2%
Marsaxlokk FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
Naxxar Lions FC
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
20.2%
Win probability
Marsaxlokk FC
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Naxxar Lions FC
+17%
+7%
Marsaxlokk FC

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marsa FC
50
52
100%
Pembroke Athleta FC
47
48
100%
San Gwann
36
38
100%
Zebbug Rangers
34
35
36%
Swieqi United
34
36
25%
Naxxar Lions FC
30
33
63%
Qrendi
29
31
83%
Pieta Hotspurs
27
28
11%
Saint Andrews
27
28
12º
20%
Vittoriosa Stars
10º
27
28
11º
27%
Marsaxlokk FC
11º
26
30
13%
Fgura United FC
12º
26
28
10º
21%
Mqabba FC
13º
24
25
13º
100%
St. Georges FC
14º
13
15
14º
100%
Qormi FC
15º
7
7
15º
100%
Expected probabilities
Naxxar Lions FC
Marsaxlokk FC
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 73%
Relegation
0% 27%

ELO progression

Marsaxlokk FC
MAR
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
Mqabba FC
MQA
Pieta Hotspurs
PIE
St. Georges FC
SGC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Naxxar Lions FC
Naxxar Lions FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO NAX ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2021
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
0 - 0
Saint Andrews
SAI
46%
27%
27%
117 113 4 0
21 Feb. 2021
ZEB
Zebbug Rangers
1 - 4
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
41%
28%
31%
116 66 -50 +1
13 Feb. 2021
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
4 - 0
Saint Andrews
SAI
46%
27%
27%
115 112 3 +1
10 Feb. 2021
NAX
Naxxar Lions FC
6 - 1
Swieqi United
SWI
47%
27%
26%
113 63 50 +3
06 Feb. 2021
SAN
San Gwann
0 - 0
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
47%
27%
26%
113 167 54 0

Matches

Marsaxlokk FC
Marsaxlokk FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Feb. 2021
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
0 - 2
Marsaxlokk FC
MAR
47%
27%
26%
96 134 38 +1
13 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marsaxlokk FC
1 - 1
Qrendi
QRE
46%
27%
27%
96 113 -17 0
07 Feb. 2021
FUN
Fgura United FC
0 - 0
Marsaxlokk FC
MAR
46%
27%
27%
96 85 -11 0
03 Feb. 2021
PAT
Pembroke Athleta FC
4 - 2
Marsaxlokk FC
MAR
47%
27%
26%
98 143 45 -2
31 Jan. 2021
MAR
Marsaxlokk FC
6 - 0
Mqabba FC
MQA
41%
28%
31%
96 145 -49 +1