NEC vs EC Próspera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.7%
71.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
FFC
0 - 1
NEC
78%
14%
8%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
NEC
1 - 2
BAR
12%
18%
70%
|
8 | 36 | 28 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 4
CAM
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
INT
3 - 1
NEC
74%
16%
10%
|
9 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
NEC
0 - 2
HER
12%
17%
70%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
EC Próspera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
ECP
1 - 2
CAM
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
INT
1 - 1
ECP
36%
24%
40%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2020 |
ECP
1 - 0
HER
34%
24%
42%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
MET
0 - 3
ECP
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +2 |
| 17 Nov. 2020 |
ECP
1 - 1
CAC
64%
19%
17%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |