Navalmoral vs CD Diocesano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
60.1%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.2%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Navalmoral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 4
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CHI
0 - 2
NAV
20%
22%
57%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
0 - 5
AMA
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CDC
0 - 1
NAV
27%
23%
50%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
NAV
2 - 0
MIA
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Diocesano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
CPL
80%
13%
7%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
CDD
3 - 1
ARR
76%
15%
9%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SJO
3 - 2
CDD
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 2
CDD
55%
21%
24%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
CDD
2 - 0
CHI
85%
11%
5%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | +1 |