Naval vs Tourizense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.3%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
7.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
3 - 1
PAM
74%
17%
9%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ADM
3 - 4
NAV
17%
22%
61%
|
55 | 29 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 0
SOU
75%
17%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 1
NAV
16%
22%
62%
|
55 | 28 | 27 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NAV
1 - 1
ADN
76%
16%
8%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tourizense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
ADM
3 - 2
TOU
42%
25%
33%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TOU
0 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
0 - 0
TOU
27%
25%
48%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOU
4 - 1
PAM
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 0
TOU
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |