Naval de Talcahuano vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naval de Talcahuano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
DER
0 - 0
NTA
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
NTA
0 - 0
PIN
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2017 |
NTA
1 - 0
CDP
46%
24%
30%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DSC
1 - 1
NTA
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NTA
1 - 1
MAL
43%
26%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 2
DER
42%
24%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2017 |
CHG
2 - 1
CDM
39%
27%
34%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
CDM
2 - 4
SAU
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 2
CDM
49%
25%
26%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
CAU
2 - 4
CDM
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |