CD Naval vs Castro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CUL
1 - 4
NAV
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAV
1 - 0
BAR
45%
24%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 4
NAV
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAV
1 - 0
COL
45%
23%
32%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
TEX
0 - 0
NAV
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Castro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
SIE
23%
26%
51%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
MAR
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
CUL
0 - 0
CAS
53%
23%
25%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
CAS
2 - 1
BAR
44%
26%
30%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAS
37%
24%
39%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |