Náutico RR vs Gênus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 0
NAU
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
PLA
2 - 1
NAU
67%
18%
14%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
NAC
21%
24%
55%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 0
NAU
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Gênus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
GEN
1 - 2
PLA
28%
24%
48%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
PAR
4 - 1
GEN
73%
16%
10%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 2
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 0
GEN
60%
21%
19%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2013 |
GEN
2 - 2
PAR
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |