Náutico vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
CSA
0 - 1
NAU
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRZ
43%
27%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 4
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 0
GUA
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
VIT
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
1 - 1
CRB
34%
28%
38%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 2
VIT
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
VAS
30%
28%
43%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |