Náutico vs Treze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
TRE
1 - 4
NAU
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
CRZ
3 - 1
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1982 |
MAR
0 - 0
NAU
68%
18%
15%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Treze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
FER
2 - 1
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
TRE
0 - 4
CRZ
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
TRE
1 - 4
NAU
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
TRE
0 - 2
VAS
17%
23%
61%
|
62 | 86 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
BOT
1 - 3
TRE
82%
13%
5%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | +1 |