Copa do Brasil . 1/32
Global 7-2
Náutico vs Trem DC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 4
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Trem DC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SEC
2 - 3
TDC
31%
23%
46%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
TDC
4 - 1
SPM
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
TDC
23%
21%
56%
|
38 | 17 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
TDC
0 - 3
ORC
68%
19%
14%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |