Náutico vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
35.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
36%
25%
38%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
11%
18%
70%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
CEN
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 47 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
CEN
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 3
SPO
11%
20%
69%
|
77 | 48 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATM
40%
25%
36%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
36%
25%
38%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
ATM
1 - 0
SPO
55%
23%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |