Náutico vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
VCR
1 - 0
NAU
8%
15%
77%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 1
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
5 - 3
NAU
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
COR
2 - 3
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NAU
0 - 2
FLA
28%
25%
46%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 2
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CRB
3 - 1
SAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 1
ICA
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
37%
27%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
CON
1 - 2
SAL
44%
26%
31%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | +1 |