Náutico vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
37.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NAU
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 3
GRE
15%
25%
60%
|
59 | 84 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
NOV
6 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
CRI
2 - 1
NAU
49%
28%
24%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
NAU
4 - 3
TOM
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
CRI
46%
29%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
0 - 2
CSA
45%
29%
26%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TOM
0 - 0
PPE
34%
29%
37%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
PPE
1 - 1
VIL
44%
28%
28%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2022 |
SAM
2 - 1
PPE
45%
27%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |