Série B Brazil . Jor. 36

Náutico vs Grêmio analysis

Náutico Grêmio
59 ELO 84
16.5% Tilt -3.1%
1600º General ELO ranking 44º
53º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
15.2%
Náutico
25.3%
Draw
59.5%
Grêmio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.2%
Win probability
Náutico
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.1%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.3%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
59.5%
Win probability
Grêmio
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
17.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.5%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Náutico
+1%
-2%
Grêmio

ELO progression

Náutico
Grêmio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Náutico
Náutico
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2022
NOV
Novorizontino
6 - 0
Náutico
NAU
42%
28%
30%
61 61 0 0
08 Oct. 2022
CRI
Criciúma
2 - 1
Náutico
NAU
49%
28%
24%
61 67 6 0
05 Oct. 2022
NAU
Náutico
4 - 3
Tombense
TOM
46%
27%
27%
61 64 3 0
29 Sep. 2022
SPO
Sport Recife
2 - 1
Náutico
NAU
58%
25%
17%
61 73 12 0
24 Sep. 2022
NAU
Náutico
1 - 3
Sampaio Correa
SAM
41%
28%
32%
62 67 5 -1

Matches

Grêmio
Grêmio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2022
GRE
Grêmio
1 - 1
Bahía
BAH
68%
20%
13%
84 77 7 0
08 Oct. 2022
LON
Londrina
1 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
19%
27%
54%
84 67 17 0
05 Oct. 2022
GRE
Grêmio
2 - 0
CSA
CSA
81%
14%
6%
84 70 14 0
01 Oct. 2022
SAM
Sampaio Correa
2 - 1
Grêmio
GRE
20%
27%
53%
85 68 17 -1
21 Sep. 2022
GRE
Grêmio
3 - 0
Sport Recife
SPO
79%
15%
6%
85 73 12 0
X