Náutico vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 3
FLU
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GOI
3 - 0
NAU
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ATP
2 - 0
NAU
55%
24%
21%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
NAU
1 - 2
FFL
43%
24%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2008 |
FLA
2 - 1
GRE
49%
25%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
SAO
38%
28%
34%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2008 |
SCI
1 - 1
GRE
42%
28%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
ATM
0 - 4
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
GRE
1 - 0
IFC
73%
19%
9%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |