Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 3-1
Náutico vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
FEC
78%
15%
7%
|
60 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
77%
16%
7%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
AFO
79%
15%
7%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 1
NAU
21%
25%
54%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 2
AAC
78%
16%
7%
|
64 | 32 | 32 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 1
APA
61%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
2 - 1
LTD
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2018 |
CUI
3 - 0
OPE
66%
21%
13%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
POC
1 - 1
CUI
12%
18%
70%
|
64 | 36 | 28 | -1 |