Náutico vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 0
NAU
48%
28%
24%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
2 - 0
NAU
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAU
0 - 4
CON
73%
18%
9%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRU
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 1
SAM
56%
25%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 2
VIT
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 2
CRZ
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
CRZ
2 - 2
LON
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
CRZ
24%
30%
47%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |