Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
BRU
4 - 3
NAU
35%
28%
38%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 2
NAU
22%
29%
49%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
PPE
2 - 3
NAU
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2021 |
NAU
3 - 2
GOI
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
OPE
58%
25%
16%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 1
COT
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2021 |
COT
3 - 0
SAM
57%
25%
18%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COT
0 - 3
CRZ
49%
27%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | -1 |