Náutico vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
COT
3 - 1
NAU
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRU
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 1
BRA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
BRU
3 - 0
CON
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
CON
0 - 1
BOT
29%
28%
43%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
LON
0 - 0
CON
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
CON
1 - 4
GUA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2021 |
AVA
2 - 1
CON
60%
24%
16%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |