Náutico vs Brasil de Pelotas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
GOI
0 - 1
NAU
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
NAU
5 - 0
OPE
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
CRB
1 - 1
NAU
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Brasil de Pelotas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
1 - 0
VIT
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 0
BRA
47%
28%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
OPE
2 - 1
BRA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
BRA
0 - 0
CRZ
19%
29%
52%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
BRU
1 - 0
BRA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |