Náutico vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2010 |
SER
1 - 0
NAU
14%
19%
67%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2010 |
ASA
2 - 0
NAU
36%
25%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
IFC
2 - 1
NAU
42%
25%
33%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAO
44%
27%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2010 |
ARN
2 - 1
NAU
27%
25%
48%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 1
BRA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 4
AMF
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
2 - 3
POR
39%
28%
34%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
AMF
46%
26%
28%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 1
ARN
64%
23%
14%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |