Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.1%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
0 - 1
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
ATL
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AMF
2 - 1
NAU
64%
22%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
1 - 0
NAU
63%
21%
16%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 1
SAM
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
22%
28%
51%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 2
ABC
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
ABC
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |