Naters vs Lancy FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
22.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
NAT
0 - 0
MEY
49%
23%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
LAC
4 - 1
NAT
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NAT
1 - 0
MAR
81%
12%
7%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BUL
1 - 1
NAT
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NAT
2 - 3
CSC
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lancy FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
LAN
0 - 1
LAC
38%
23%
39%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
1 - 2
LAN
20%
20%
60%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
LAN
2 - 2
BUL
22%
23%
56%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
CSC
3 - 3
LAN
41%
23%
37%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BUL
4 - 0
LAN
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | -1 |