Næstved vs Hillerød analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
6º
6º
31
7º
12º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NAE
0 - 3
SIF
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 2
NAE
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HBK
1 - 1
NAE
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAE
3 - 0
VEN
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
JFC
0 - 5
NAE
4%
10%
86%
|
62 | 12 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Hillerød
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
LFA
32%
25%
43%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 2
FCH
9%
17%
74%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
1 - 0
HIL
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 2
VEJ
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
HOB
1 - 1
HIL
55%
24%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |