Næstved vs HB Køge analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
21.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
3º
6º
6º
25
6º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 50 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
NAE
2 - 0
HIL
65%
22%
13%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
NAE
0 - 3
SIF
20%
22%
58%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
FCH
1 - 2
NAE
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HBK
1 - 1
NAE
27%
27%
46%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
NAE
3 - 0
VEN
45%
25%
29%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HB Køge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HBK
0 - 1
FRE
35%
26%
40%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
2 - 3
HBK
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
HBK
1 - 1
NAE
27%
27%
46%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
VEJ
1 - 2
HBK
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
KER
1 - 1
HBK
4%
11%
84%
|
56 | 9 | 47 | -1 |