Næstved vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
45.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Næstved
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FYN
3 - 1
NAE
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
NAE
0 - 1
AAB
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 79 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
VEJ
2 - 1
NAE
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
NAE
3 - 0
BRØ
61%
21%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2010 |
HOB
2 - 1
NAE
44%
25%
31%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
AGF
3 - 2
KBK
81%
14%
6%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
AGF
6 - 3
SKI
67%
19%
14%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
HOB
1 - 1
AGF
29%
26%
45%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 2
AGF
23%
26%
51%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
AGF
7 - 1
HVI
75%
17%
8%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |