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NPFL. Matchday 35

Nasarawa United vs Rivers United analysis

Nasarawa United Rivers United
28 ELO 33
17% Tilt -28%
5609º General ELO ranking 4440º
15º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
54.3%
Nasarawa United
26.3%
Draw
19.4%
Rivers United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
Nasarawa United
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
19.4%
Win probability
Rivers United
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nasarawa United
-6%
+29%
Rivers United

Basic stats

51
49
POS
7
3
SOT
4
3
COR
2
1
GF
1
2
GC
28
33
ELO
1.5
0.8
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Nasarawa United
Their league position
Rivers United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
13º
77
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rivers United
77
77
100%
Plateau United
67
67
100%
Remo Stars
62
62
100%
Kwara United
58
58
100%
Enugu Rangers
56
56
100%
Nasarawa United
53
53
100%
Enyimba
52
52
25%
Gombe United
52
52
25%
Akwa United
52
52
25%
Wikki Tourist
10º
52
52
10º
25%
Sunshine Stars
11º
51
51
11º
100%
Abia Warriors
12º
50
50
12º
100%
Niger Tornadoes
13º
49
49
13º
33%
Dakkada
14º
49
49
14º
33%
Lobi Stars
15º
49
49
15º
33%
Shooting Stars
16º
48
48
16º
33%
Kano Pillars
17º
48
48
17º
33%
Katsina United
18º
48
48
18º
33%
Heartland Owerri
19º
47
47
19º
100%
MFM FC
20º
36
36
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nasarawa United
Rivers United
Champion
0% 100%
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nasarawa United
NAS
Rivers United
RIV
Kano Pillars
KAN
Kwara United
KWA
MFM FC
MFM
Shooting Stars
SHO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nasarawa United
Nasarawa United
1%
X%
2%
ELO NAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2022
NIG
Niger Tornadoes
1 - 0
Nasarawa United
NAS
46%
27%
27%
357 342 -15 -2
12 Jun. 2022
NAS
Nasarawa United
1 - 0
Enugu Rangers
ENU
41%
28%
31%
355 438 -83 +2
05 Jun. 2022
SUN
Sunshine Stars
2 - 1
Nasarawa United
NAS
48%
27%
26%
356 434 78 -2
01 Jun. 2022
NAS
Nasarawa United
2 - 1
Abia Warriors
ABI
46%
27%
27%
354 387 -33 +2
28 May. 2022
ENY
Enyimba
3 - 2
Nasarawa United
NAS
53%
25%
22%
356 598 242 -2

Matches

Rivers United
Rivers United
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jun. 2022
ENU
Enugu Rangers
0 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
44%
27%
29%
450 436 -14 0
12 Jun. 2022
RIV
Rivers United
2 - 1
Abia Warriors
ABI
46%
27%
26%
448 386 62 +2
05 Jun. 2022
WIK
Wikki Tourist
1 - 0
Rivers United
RIV
41%
28%
31%
450 356 -94 -2
01 Jun. 2022
RIV
Rivers United
2 - 0
Plateau United
PLA
46%
27%
26%
447 405 42 +3
28 May. 2022
AST
Dakkada
2 - 3
Rivers United
RIV
45%
27%
28%
445 393 -52 +2