Nardò vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
12.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+101%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
4 - 0
SSM
46%
28%
26%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
NAR
0 - 0
TAR
41%
28%
32%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRA
3 - 1
NAR
46%
24%
29%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 0
FRA
55%
26%
19%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
AVH
1 - 1
NAR
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAR
2 - 3
AEE
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ROC
0 - 1
SAR
59%
22%
19%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
GEL
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 1
SAR
28%
23%
49%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
CAV
4 - 0
SAR
77%
15%
8%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |