Nardò vs Francavilla Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
FOR
2 - 0
NAR
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
3 - 1
ANG
67%
20%
14%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
2 - 0
NAR
67%
19%
14%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
1 - 2
BRI
48%
24%
28%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
NAR
0 - 2
CAS
40%
27%
33%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Francavilla Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
0 - 0
INT
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
BRI
4 - 0
FRA
55%
24%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
FRA
3 - 2
CAM
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
FRA
69%
19%
13%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
VIR
0 - 0
FRA
33%
26%
41%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | 0 |