Nardò vs Anzio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+65%
+98%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardò
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
POL
0 - 2
NAR
19%
22%
60%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 0
NAR
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
NAR
1 - 0
AVH
49%
23%
29%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
RPO
0 - 1
NAR
51%
22%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
NAR
0 - 1
TRA
43%
27%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Anzio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 0
PIC
28%
22%
50%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
CSV
2 - 0
ANZ
57%
20%
23%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
ANZ
2 - 2
MDC
56%
20%
24%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
AGR
2 - 3
ANZ
61%
21%
18%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ANZ
1 - 4
BIS
22%
23%
55%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -2 |