Nardo vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
54.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
LEV
6 - 0
NAR
72%
17%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
NAR
3 - 2
FFC
50%
24%
26%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2021 |
EGE
3 - 0
NAR
75%
15%
9%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
HOD
5 - 2
NAR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
ROS
2 - 5
NAR
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
44%
24%
32%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 4
VAR
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
KJE
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
1 - 2
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |