Nardo vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
39.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
NES
0 - 0
NAR
78%
14%
8%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 1
EGE
33%
27%
40%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
HOD
2 - 0
NAR
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NAR
2 - 0
HON
35%
26%
40%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
FAN
0 - 1
NAR
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
EGE
0 - 1
VAR
45%
25%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 0
HON
60%
21%
20%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 6
HAU
12%
17%
71%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
BYA
3 - 1
VAR
29%
25%
47%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 1
VIN
60%
19%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |