3. Division Grupo 4 round 17

Nardo vs Rana FK analysis

Nardo Rana FK
43 ELO 41
11.5% Tilt 0.6%
5907º General ELO ranking 6149º
73º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
55.6%
Nardo
21%
Draw
23.3%
Rana FK

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.6%
Win probability
Nardo
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.3%
Win probability
Rana FK
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Nardo
+18%
+38%
Rana FK

Points and table prediction

Nardo
Their league position
Rana FK
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
62
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Rana FK
62
62
100%
Nardo
59
59
100%
Trygg/Lade
54
54
100%
Melhus
42
42
100%
Strømsgodset II
40
40
100%
Lillestrom II
38
38
0%
Tiller IL
38
38
0%
Rosenborg II
35
35
100%
Stabæk II
32
32
100%
Byåsen
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Surnadal
11º
30
30
11º
100%
Verdal
12º
24
24
12º
100%
Orkla
13º
21
21
13º
100%
Mosjøen
14º
10
10
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Nardo
Rana FK
Promotion
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Nardo
Rana FK
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Nardo
Nardo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
MEL
Melhus
0 - 2
Nardo
NAR
15%
19%
66%
43 26 17 0
03 Aug. 2024
NAR
Nardo
2 - 0
Byåsen
BYA
54%
22%
25%
42 39 3 +1
27 Jul. 2024
SKT
Trygg/Lade
1 - 2
Nardo
NAR
32%
24%
44%
41 33 8 +1
20 Jul. 2024
NAR
Nardo
1 - 2
Tiller IL
TIL
81%
12%
7%
42 27 15 -1
23 Jun. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
0 - 1
Nardo
NAR
18%
19%
63%
41 24 17 +1

Matches

Rana FK
Rana FK
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Aug. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
5 - 0
Orkla
ORK
78%
13%
9%
39 20 19 0
03 Aug. 2024
MOS
Mosjøen
0 - 5
Rana FK
RFK
14%
16%
70%
39 15 24 0
28 Jul. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
3 - 1
Stabæk II
STA
57%
19%
24%
38 34 4 +1
22 Jul. 2024
LIL
Lillestrom II
3 - 2
Rana FK
RFK
24%
19%
57%
39 23 16 -1
22 Jun. 2024
RFK
Rana FK
0 - 2
Surnadal
SUR
86%
9%
5%
39 13 26 0