Nardo vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
54.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nardo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
FRA
2 - 2
NAR
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SSK
3 - 1
NAR
31%
25%
44%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
3 - 1
SSK
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
OFK
2 - 0
NAR
61%
21%
18%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NAR
0 - 2
NOT
39%
25%
36%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FKA
0 - 0
KJE
61%
22%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
LEV
3 - 1
FKA
43%
24%
32%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2021 |
FKA
4 - 1
SSK
70%
17%
13%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
FFC
2 - 2
FKA
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2021 |
FKA
3 - 0
ODD
68%
18%
14%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |