Nara-ShBFR vs Volga Tver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
43.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nara-ShBFR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
NAR
3 - 0
SHC
26%
28%
46%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 3
DVO
44%
25%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
LOK
3 - 0
NAR
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
NAR
4 - 2
IST
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2009 |
NAR
0 - 2
DIN
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Volga Tver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SEV
1 - 2
VOL
41%
27%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2009 |
DIN
1 - 1
VOL
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2009 |
VOL
2 - 0
TOR
54%
25%
21%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
PFK
50%
26%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
VOL
68%
19%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |