Europa League Eliminatorias. 1/16
Global 5-0
Napoli vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAS
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 4
NAP
29%
24%
47%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
PAL
3 - 1
NAP
24%
25%
51%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
NAP
3 - 1
UDI
72%
17%
11%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 0
INT
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
KAS
1 - 1
TRA
41%
26%
33%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 4
NAP
29%
24%
47%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
3 - 2
IST
66%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 3
SIV
61%
21%
19%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
FEN
0 - 0
TRA
62%
22%
17%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |