Napoli vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAP
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
UDI
0 - 4
NAP
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
LEI
2 - 2
NAP
37%
26%
37%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 1
JUV
36%
24%
40%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
2 - 0
UFA
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
CSK
1 - 0
SPA
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
0 - 1
WAR
57%
23%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
SPA
3 - 1
KHI
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SPA
1 - 2
SOC
50%
24%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |