Napoli vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
PSG
2 - 2
NAP
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
UDI
0 - 3
NAP
17%
21%
62%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
2 - 0
SAS
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
LIV
43%
23%
33%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
JUV
3 - 1
NAP
51%
24%
25%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 0
CSK
68%
19%
13%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
0 - 2
SPA
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
EMP
0 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2018 |
ROM
5 - 0
VKP
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
ROM
3 - 1
LAZ
50%
23%
27%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |