Napoli vs Pro Patria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
10.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
GEN
4 - 2
NAP
60%
20%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
NAP
1 - 0
LEO
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
TRI
3 - 4
NAP
24%
21%
55%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PAD
3 - 0
NAP
22%
20%
58%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
NAP
3 - 1
USA
76%
14%
11%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1930 |
PRO
3 - 1
LAZ
28%
21%
51%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1930 |
JUV
4 - 1
PRO
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 0
TOR
23%
22%
56%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 1
TRI
49%
22%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1930 |
LEO
0 - 0
PRO
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |