Napoli vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1952 |
ATL
2 - 4
NAP
48%
25%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
INT
3 - 0
NAP
84%
10%
6%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
NAP
1 - 0
SAM
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
ASL
0 - 0
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
PAD
0 - 1
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 1
SAM
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 2
SPA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1952 |
TRI
2 - 2
NOV
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1952 |
NOV
2 - 1
TOR
41%
24%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1952 |
BOL
4 - 1
NOV
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |