Napoli vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ROM
2 - 1
NAP
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
NAP
3 - 0
TRI
53%
23%
24%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
BOL
3 - 2
NAP
68%
18%
14%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
NAP
0 - 2
SAM
61%
20%
19%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
LAZ
4 - 0
NAP
56%
22%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1937 |
ACM
0 - 1
TOR
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1937 |
BAR
2 - 3
ACM
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1937 |
ACM
2 - 1
ACL
52%
21%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1937 |
BOL
2 - 0
ACM
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 1937 |
ACM
1 - 0
FIO
56%
23%
22%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |