Napoli vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12%
3-0
12.7%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
5%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
NAP
1 - 0
TOR
76%
15%
9%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 2
NAP
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 3
SPA
80%
13%
7%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
CAG
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAP
22%
23%
55%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
WAR
0 - 1
LPO
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
GDA
3 - 1
WAR
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
1 - 0
LEI
13%
21%
66%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 3
RAK
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2021 |
WIG
1 - 3
WAR
13%
22%
65%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |