Napoli vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
7.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 2
UDI
73%
17%
10%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
LAZ
0 - 1
NAP
38%
26%
36%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAP
1 - 3
JUV
51%
24%
25%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
CES
1 - 4
NAP
14%
23%
63%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2014 |
JUV
2 - 2
NAP
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
3 - 3
SAS
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2015 |
GEN
2 - 2
ATL
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
GEN
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GEN
0 - 1
ROM
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | -1 |