Napoli vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
17%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
2 - 2
FCP
54%
23%
23%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 1
NAP
20%
24%
56%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
FCP
1 - 0
NAP
43%
25%
32%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
NAP
1 - 0
ROM
51%
23%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
LIV
1 - 1
NAP
16%
22%
62%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
JUV
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 93 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
3 - 1
CHI
75%
16%
9%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 1
FIO
70%
19%
11%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
69%
19%
12%
|
87 | 92 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
FIO
0 - 1
LAZ
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |