Napoli vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
19.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
LAZ
0 - 0
NAP
59%
20%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1958 |
INT
3 - 2
NAP
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
NAP
3 - 2
SAM
50%
22%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 0
BOL
50%
23%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1958 |
USA
1 - 3
PAD
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
PAD
1 - 4
JUV
39%
23%
37%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1958 |
INT
3 - 0
PAD
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |