Napoli vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.5%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.7%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
12.7%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.3%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.1%
0
10.4%
3.1%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
INT
1 - 0
NAP
30%
25%
45%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
1 - 0
SPA
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAG
0 - 1
NAP
16%
21%
64%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2018 |
LIV
1 - 0
NAP
42%
24%
34%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
NAP
4 - 0
FRO
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 2
LAZ
21%
24%
55%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
PAR
0 - 0
BOL
41%
29%
30%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
EMP
2 - 1
BOL
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2018 |
BOL
3 - 0
CRO
49%
24%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |