Europa League Grupo F. Jor. 1

Napoli vs AZ Alkmaar analysis

Napoli AZ Alkmaar
87 ELO 82
7.2% Tilt -0.5%
25º General ELO ranking 78º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
65.1%
Napoli
19%
Draw
15.9%
AZ Alkmaar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
Napoli
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.9%
Win probability
AZ Alkmaar
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Napoli
-9%
-8%
AZ Alkmaar

ELO progression

Napoli
AZ Alkmaar
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Napoli
Napoli
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
NAP
Napoli
4 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
42%
23%
35%
86 87 1 0
27 Sep. 2020
NAP
Napoli
6 - 0
Genoa
GEN
74%
16%
10%
87 75 12 -1
20 Sep. 2020
PAR
Parma
0 - 2
Napoli
NAP
18%
23%
58%
87 75 12 0
11 Sep. 2020
NAP
Napoli
4 - 0
Pescara
PES
83%
13%
5%
87 64 23 0
04 Sep. 2020
NAP
Napoli
4 - 0
Teramo
TER
87%
11%
2%
87 46 41 0

Matches

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Oct. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
2 - 2
VVV Venlo
VVV
67%
20%
14%
81 63 18 0
04 Oct. 2020
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
4 - 4
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
15%
21%
65%
81 63 18 0
26 Sep. 2020
FOR
Fortuna Sittard
3 - 3
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
16%
22%
63%
82 65 17 -1
19 Sep. 2020
AZA
AZ Alkmaar
1 - 1
PEC Zwolle
ZWO
71%
19%
10%
83 66 17 -1
15 Sep. 2020
DYN
Dynamo Kyiv
2 - 0
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
55%
23%
22%
83 86 3 0
X