Coppa Italia . Semi-finals
Global 1-3
Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
37.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
2 - 0
PAR
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
4 - 2
SPE
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
VER
3 - 1
NAP
21%
23%
55%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
JUV
2 - 0
NAP
58%
22%
20%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
NAP
6 - 0
FIO
66%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
1 - 3
LAZ
64%
19%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
3 - 2
LAZ
63%
20%
18%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ACM
0 - 3
ATL
46%
23%
31%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
UDI
1 - 1
ATL
13%
19%
68%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 0
GEN
83%
12%
6%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |