Napoli vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Dec. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 1
NAP
8%
16%
76%
|
91 | 72 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
NAP
3 - 2
SAM
81%
13%
6%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2017 |
NAP
1 - 0
UDI
82%
13%
5%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 3
NAP
28%
22%
49%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
NAP
0 - 0
FIO
74%
16%
10%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 2
CAG
78%
14%
7%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
ACM
0 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
2 - 1
SAS
70%
18%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
ATL
3 - 3
LAZ
48%
23%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2017 |
GEN
1 - 2
ATL
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |